MC

Matt Cence

3 seasons · 1 team · 1 division Compare 2025

Career

SeasonDivTeamPos GP90sGA raw/90adj/90sched rankpct
Career D1 1 team 50 43.6 6 14 0.418 0.432

The career row totals only what can be totalled. Schedule, rank and percentile are blank because each one is a position inside a single division-season, so there is no career version of them, and the best season's percentile is not one. The career raw/90 and adj/90 are every season put on the D1 scale and weighted by minutes, which is the only way to total a rate across divisions. The level ladder is measured from 665 players observed in two divisions, in both directions, so it is a within-player comparison rather than a guess. Treat it as a translation, not a projection. The ladder is an average over players who moved, and most of them were mid-table, so applying it to someone far out in his division's tail assumes the gap is the same size up there. The mover sample cannot check that.

adjusted per 90
0.572
raw 0.573
rank in D1 2025
223
+26 vs raw · 92th pct
schedule faced
1.00
mean opponent +0.05
production vs weak half
55%
expected 70% · 57% of minutes

2025 · every game by opponent strength

0123weaker halfstronger halfSiena rating +0.16 90min 0g 0aUConn rating +0.50 90min 0g 0aQuinnipiac rating -0.38 90min 0g 0aBryant rating +0.92 90min 0g 0aNew Hampshire rating -0.17 75min 0g 0aPrinceton rating +0.97 90min 0g 0aHoly Cross rating -0.23 90min 0g 0aOral Roberts rating -0.25 90min 0g 0aDartmouth rating -0.29 45min 0g 0aSt. Thomas (MN) rating -0.10 90min 0g 0aUMass Lowell rating -0.19 80min 0g 1aYale rating -0.43 90min 1g 0aDelaware rating +0.84 90min 1g 0aOmaha rating -0.46 90min 0g 1aDenver rating +0.29 76min 1g 1aKansas City rating +0.53 90min 0g 2aStonehill rating -0.78 62min 2g 1aweaker opponentstronger opponent

Each circle is one game, placed by how strong the opponent was and how many goal involvements he had. Filled circles are games he scored or assisted in. He drew 55% of his involvements against the weaker half where 70% was expected given the schedule he played (p = 0.917). That is within the normal range.

2025 game log

DateOpponentopp rating minGA
2025-08-21 Siena H +0.16 90 0 0
2025-08-24 UConn A +0.50 90 0 0
2025-08-28 Quinnipiac H -0.38 weaker half 90 0 0
2025-09-01 Stonehill H -0.78 weaker half 62 2 1
2025-09-06 Bryant H +0.92 90 0 0
2025-09-10 UMass Lowell A -0.19 weaker half 80 0 1
2025-09-13 New Hampshire A -0.17 weaker half 75 0 0
2025-09-16 Princeton A +0.97 90 0 0
2025-09-20 Yale H -0.43 weaker half 90 1 0
2025-09-27 Delaware A +0.84 90 1 0
2025-09-30 Holy Cross A -0.23 weaker half 90 0 0
2025-10-04 Denver H +0.29 76 1 1
2025-10-11 Omaha A -0.46 weaker half 90 0 1
2025-10-18 Oral Roberts H -0.25 weaker half 90 0 0
2025-10-21 Dartmouth H -0.29 weaker half 45 0 0
2025-10-25 St. Thomas (MN) A -0.10 weaker half 90 0 0
2025-11-01 Kansas City H +0.53 90 0 2