Daniel Ehlin

Daniel Ehlin

2 seasons · 1 team · 2 divisions Compare 2025

Observed in more than one division. D2 2024 at 1 involvements in 16 nineties (0.06/90), then D1 2025 at 0.15/90. These two rates are not directly comparable, which is exactly what the level model is being built to resolve.

Career

SeasonDivTeamPos GP90sGA raw/90adj/90sched rankpct
Career D1 + D2 1 team 32 28.5 0 3 0.100 0.090

The career row totals only what can be totalled. Schedule, rank and percentile are blank because each one is a position inside a single division-season, so there is no career version of them, and the best season's percentile is not one. The career raw/90 and adj/90 are every season put on the D1 scale and weighted by minutes, which is the only way to total a rate across divisions. The level ladder is measured from 665 players observed in two divisions, in both directions, so it is a within-player comparison rather than a guess. A goal in D2 counts as 0.72 of a D1 goal. Treat it as a translation, not a projection. The ladder is an average over players who moved, and most of them were mid-table, so applying it to someone far out in his division's tail assumes the gap is the same size up there. The mover sample cannot check that.

adjusted per 90
0.128
raw 0.153
rank in D1 2025
1969
-211 vs raw · 25th pct
schedule faced
0.77
mean opponent -0.35
production vs weak half
100%
expected 79% · 68% of minutes

2025 · every game by opponent strength

012weaker halfstronger halfProvidence rating +0.18 90min 0g 0aDartmouth rating -0.29 15min 0g 0aSyracuse rating +0.18 90min 0g 0aGeorge Washington rating -0.62 90min 0g 0aQuinnipiac rating -0.38 77min 0g 0aHoward rating -0.75 90min 0g 0aFDU rating +0.54 90min 0g 0aCentral Conn. St. rating -1.06 45min 0g 0aStonehill rating -0.78 90min 0g 0aLe Moyne rating -0.24 72min 0g 0aLIU rating +0.24 90min 0g 0aChicago St. rating -1.40 90min 0g 0aMonmouth rating -0.18 90min 0g 1aMercyhurst rating -0.38 90min 0g 1aweaker opponentstronger opponent

Each circle is one game, placed by how strong the opponent was and how many goal involvements he had. Filled circles are games he scored or assisted in. He drew 100% of his involvements against the weaker half where 79% was expected given the schedule he played (p = 0.624). That is within the normal range.

2025 game log

DateOpponentopp rating minGA
2025-08-21 Monmouth A -0.18 weaker half 90 0 1
2025-08-25 Providence A +0.18 90 0 0
2025-08-29 Dartmouth A -0.29 weaker half 15 0 0
2025-09-08 Syracuse A +0.18 90 0 0
2025-09-13 George Washington H -0.62 weaker half 90 0 0
2025-09-23 Quinnipiac A -0.38 weaker half 77 0 0
2025-09-28 Howard H -0.75 weaker half 90 0 0
2025-10-02 FDU A +0.54 90 0 0
2025-10-05 Central Conn. St. H -1.06 weaker half 45 0 0
2025-10-09 Stonehill A -0.78 weaker half 90 0 0
2025-10-16 Saint Francis A · out of division, not counted 70 0 0
2025-10-23 Le Moyne H -0.24 weaker half 72 0 0
2025-10-30 LIU A +0.24 90 0 0
2025-11-06 Chicago St. A -1.40 weaker half 90 0 0
2025-11-09 Mercyhurst H -0.38 weaker half 90 0 1