VT

Vitalis Takawira Jr.

3 seasons · 3 teams · 2 divisions Compare 2025

Observed in more than one division. D2 2023-2024 at 21 involvements in 26 nineties (0.81/90), then D1 2025 at 0.75/90. These two rates are not directly comparable, which is exactly what the level model is being built to resolve.

Career

SeasonDivTeamPos GP90sGA raw/90adj/90sched rankpct
Career D1 + D2 3 teams 46 39.2 16 15 0.562 0.573

The career row totals only what can be totalled. Schedule, rank and percentile are blank because each one is a position inside a single division-season, so there is no career version of them, and the best season's percentile is not one. The career raw/90 and adj/90 are every season put on the D1 scale and weighted by minutes, which is the only way to total a rate across divisions. The level ladder is measured from 665 players observed in two divisions, in both directions, so it is a within-player comparison rather than a guess. A goal in D2 counts as 0.72 of a D1 goal. Treat it as a translation, not a projection. The ladder is an average over players who moved, and most of them were mid-table, so applying it to someone far out in his division's tail assumes the gap is the same size up there. The mover sample cannot check that.

adjusted per 90
0.614
raw 0.664
rank in D1 2025
173
-29 vs raw · 93th pct
schedule faced
0.90
mean opponent -0.07
production vs weak half
70%
expected 72% · 63% of minutes

2025 · every game by opponent strength

012weaker halfstronger halfGeorgia St. rating -0.19 90min 0g 0aSouth Carolina rating -0.24 63min 0g 0aCol. of Charleston rating -0.16 90min 0g 0aElon rating +0.11 90min 0g 0aFurman rating +0.71 45min 0g 0aPresbyterian rating -0.15 90min 0g 0aQueens (NC) rating -0.19 42min 0g 0aHigh Point rating +0.97 74min 0g 0aRadford rating -0.62 90min 0g 0aLiberty rating +0.02 79min 0g 1aUAB rating -0.00 90min 0g 1aWinthrop rating -1.02 82min 1g 0aGardner-Webb rating +0.63 66min 0g 1aWofford rating -0.34 62min 2g 0aUNC Asheville rating -0.07 71min 0g 2aLongwood rating -0.51 72min 0g 2aweaker opponentstronger opponent

Each circle is one game, placed by how strong the opponent was and how many goal involvements he had. Filled circles are games he scored or assisted in. He drew 70% of his involvements against the weaker half where 72% was expected given the schedule he played (p = 0.710). That is within the normal range.

2025 game log

DateOpponentopp rating minGA
2025-08-21 Georgia St. H -0.19 weaker half 90 0 0
2025-08-24 Liberty A +0.02 79 0 1
2025-08-29 South Carolina A -0.24 weaker half 63 0 0
2025-09-01 UAB H -0.00 90 0 1
2025-09-09 Col. of Charleston A -0.16 weaker half 90 0 0
2025-09-13 Elon A +0.11 90 0 0
2025-09-16 Wofford H -0.34 weaker half 62 2 0
2025-09-20 UNC Asheville H -0.07 weaker half 71 0 2
2025-09-27 Winthrop A -1.02 weaker half 82 1 0
2025-09-30 Furman A +0.71 45 0 0
2025-10-03 Presbyterian H -0.15 weaker half 90 0 0
2025-10-07 Queens (NC) A -0.19 weaker half 42 0 0
2025-10-12 High Point A +0.97 74 0 0
2025-10-18 Gardner-Webb H +0.63 66 0 1
2025-10-27 Longwood H -0.51 weaker half 72 0 2
2025-11-01 Radford A -0.62 weaker half 90 0 0