CW

Colin Wright

2 seasons · 2 teams · 2 divisions Compare 2025

Observed in more than one division. D3 2022-2023 at 6 involvements in 12 nineties (0.48/90), then D1 2025 at 0.09/90. These two rates are not directly comparable, which is exactly what the level model is being built to resolve.

Career

SeasonDivTeamPos GP90sGA raw/90adj/90sched rankpct
Career D1 + D3 2 teams 31 18.7 0 3 0.236 0.226

The career row totals only what can be totalled. Schedule, rank and percentile are blank because each one is a position inside a single division-season, so there is no career version of them, and the best season's percentile is not one. The career raw/90 and adj/90 are every season put on the D1 scale and weighted by minutes, which is the only way to total a rate across divisions. The level ladder is measured from 665 players observed in two divisions, in both directions, so it is a within-player comparison rather than a guess. A goal in D3 counts as 0.55 of a D1 goal. Treat it as a translation, not a projection. The ladder is an average over players who moved, and most of them were mid-table, so applying it to someone far out in his division's tail assumes the gap is the same size up there. The mover sample cannot check that.

adjusted per 90
0.236
raw 0.253
rank in D1 2025
1227
-41 vs raw · 53th pct
schedule faced
0.77
mean opponent -0.30
production vs weak half
100%
expected 82% · 73% of minutes

2025 · every game by opponent strength

012weaker halfstronger halfUAlbany rating +0.02 15min 0g 0aUConn rating +0.50 29min 0g 0aMerrimack rating -0.25 43min 0g 0aVMI rating -0.98 70min 0g 0aNJIT rating -0.42 50min 0g 0aBinghamton rating -0.67 71min 0g 0aUMass Lowell rating -0.19 60min 0g 0aFDU rating +0.54 66min 0g 0aStonehill rating -0.78 71min 0g 0aNew Haven rating -0.10 66min 0g 0aHoward rating -0.75 62min 0g 0aRhode Island rating -0.01 60min 0g 0aLIU rating +0.24 90min 0g 0aChicago St. rating -1.40 60min 0g 0aLe Moyne rating -0.24 90min 0g 0aMercyhurst rating -0.38 66min 0g 1aweaker opponentstronger opponent

Each circle is one game, placed by how strong the opponent was and how many goal involvements he had. Filled circles are games he scored or assisted in. He drew 100% of his involvements against the weaker half where 82% was expected given the schedule he played (p = 0.824). That is within the normal range.

2025 game log

DateOpponentopp rating minGA
2025-08-28 UAlbany A +0.02 15 0 0
2025-09-04 UConn A +0.50 29 0 0
2025-09-09 Merrimack H -0.25 weaker half 43 0 0
2025-09-13 VMI H -0.98 weaker half 70 0 0
2025-09-16 NJIT H -0.42 weaker half 50 0 0
2025-09-20 Binghamton H -0.67 weaker half 71 0 0
2025-09-23 UMass Lowell H -0.19 weaker half 60 0 0
2025-09-28 FDU H +0.54 66 0 0
2025-10-02 Stonehill A -0.78 weaker half 71 0 0
2025-10-05 New Haven A -0.10 weaker half 66 0 0
2025-10-12 Howard H -0.75 weaker half 62 0 0
2025-10-15 Rhode Island A -0.01 60 0 0
2025-10-19 LIU H +0.24 90 0 0
2025-10-23 Chicago St. A -1.40 weaker half 60 0 0
2025-11-02 Mercyhurst A -0.38 weaker half 66 0 1
2025-11-06 Le Moyne H -0.24 weaker half 90 0 0
2025-11-09 Saint Francis A · out of division, not counted 71 0 0