Andriy Bilous

Andriy Bilous

2 seasons · 2 teams · 2 divisions Compare 2025

Observed in more than one division. D2 2023 at 9 involvements in 15 nineties (0.62/90), then D1 2024-2025 at 0.58/90. Surname is unique in the population, so the match is high confidence. These two rates are not directly comparable, which is exactly what the level model is being built to resolve.

Career

SeasonDivTeamPos GP90sGA raw/90adj/90sched rankpct
Career D1 + D2 2 teams 35 28.2 8 8 0.467 0.421

The career row totals only what can be totalled. Schedule, rank and percentile are blank because each one is a position inside a single division-season, so there is no career version of them, and the best season's percentile is not one. The career raw/90 and adj/90 are every season put on the D1 scale and weighted by minutes, which is the only way to total a rate across divisions. The level ladder is measured from 665 players observed in two divisions, in both directions, so it is a within-player comparison rather than a guess. A goal in D2 counts as 0.72 of a D1 goal. Treat it as a translation, not a projection. The ladder is an average over players who moved, and most of them were mid-table, so applying it to someone far out in his division's tail assumes the gap is the same size up there. The mover sample cannot check that.

adjusted per 90
0.473
raw 0.510
rank in D1 2025
412
-55 vs raw · 84th pct
schedule faced
0.90
mean opponent -0.10
production vs weak half
86%
expected 76% · 67% of minutes

2025 · every game by opponent strength

012weaker halfstronger halfOhio St. rating -0.33 75min 0g 0aDayton rating +0.20 90min 0g 0aMichigan rating +0.59 73min 0g 0aMichigan St. rating -0.06 29min 0g 0aPurdue Fort Wayne rating +0.18 50min 0g 0aCleveland St. rating +0.13 39min 0g 0aGreen Bay rating -0.06 77min 0g 0aButler rating -0.50 71min 0g 0aDetroit Mercy rating -0.40 69min 0g 0aMarshall rating +0.63 90min 0g 0aIU Indy rating -0.23 90min 0g 0aLoyola Chicago rating -0.26 75min 0g 1aDePaul rating -0.58 90min 0g 1aMilwaukee rating -0.08 67min 1g 0aRobert Morris rating +0.11 55min 0g 1aNorthern Ky. rating -0.32 90min 1g 0aWright St. rating -0.72 90min 1g 1aweaker opponentstronger opponent

Each circle is one game, placed by how strong the opponent was and how many goal involvements he had. Filled circles are games he scored or assisted in. He drew 86% of his involvements against the weaker half where 76% was expected given the schedule he played (p = 0.473). That is within the normal range.

2025 game log

DateOpponentopp rating minGA
2025-08-21 Loyola Chicago A -0.26 weaker half 75 0 1
2025-08-24 DePaul A -0.58 weaker half 90 0 1
2025-08-28 Ohio St. A -0.33 weaker half 75 0 0
2025-08-31 Dayton A +0.20 90 0 0
2025-09-05 Michigan H +0.59 73 0 0
2025-09-08 Michigan St. A -0.06 weaker half 29 0 0
2025-09-13 Purdue Fort Wayne A +0.18 50 0 0
2025-09-20 Cleveland St. A +0.13 39 0 0
2025-09-27 Milwaukee H -0.08 weaker half 67 1 0
2025-10-04 Green Bay A -0.06 weaker half 77 0 0
2025-10-07 Butler H -0.50 weaker half 71 0 0
2025-10-11 Detroit Mercy H -0.40 weaker half 69 0 0
2025-10-14 Marshall A +0.63 90 0 0
2025-10-18 Robert Morris H +0.11 55 0 1
2025-10-25 Northern Ky. A -0.32 weaker half 90 1 0
2025-10-31 Wright St. H -0.72 weaker half 90 1 1
2025-11-04 IU Indy H -0.23 weaker half 90 0 0