AT

Ali Taleb

3 seasons · 2 teams · 2 divisions Compare 2025

Observed in more than one division. D2 2023 at 9 involvements in 12 nineties (0.74/90), then D1 2024-2025 at 0.32/90. Surname is unique in the population, so the match is high confidence. These two rates are not directly comparable, which is exactly what the level model is being built to resolve.

Career

SeasonDivTeamPos GP90sGA raw/90adj/90sched rankpct
Career D1 + D2 2 teams 47 33.3 12 3 0.410 0.418

The career row totals only what can be totalled. Schedule, rank and percentile are blank because each one is a position inside a single division-season, so there is no career version of them, and the best season's percentile is not one. The career raw/90 and adj/90 are every season put on the D1 scale and weighted by minutes, which is the only way to total a rate across divisions. The level ladder is measured from 665 players observed in two divisions, in both directions, so it is a within-player comparison rather than a guess. A goal in D2 counts as 0.72 of a D1 goal. Treat it as a translation, not a projection. The ladder is an average over players who moved, and most of them were mid-table, so applying it to someone far out in his division's tail assumes the gap is the same size up there. The mover sample cannot check that.

adjusted per 90
0.343
raw 0.354
rank in D1 2025
790
-13 vs raw · 70th pct
schedule faced
0.96
mean opponent -0.04
production vs weak half
67%
expected 68% · 60% of minutes

2025 · every game by opponent strength

012weaker halfstronger halfAkron rating +0.65 73min 0g 0aBelmont rating +0.43 90min 0g 0aBellarmine rating +0.31 48min 0g 0aGreen Bay rating -0.06 78min 0g 0aCleveland St. rating +0.13 67min 0g 0aBowling Green rating -0.29 40min 0g 0aDetroit Mercy rating -0.40 90min 0g 0aIU Indy rating -0.23 76min 0g 0aDuquesne rating -0.02 36min 0g 0aOakland rating -0.19 90min 0g 0aMilwaukee rating -0.08 86min 0g 0aPurdue Fort Wayne rating +0.18 49min 0g 0aWestern Ill. rating -0.44 62min 1g 0aRobert Morris rating +0.11 78min 1g 0aWright St. rating -0.72 55min 1g 0aweaker opponentstronger opponent

Each circle is one game, placed by how strong the opponent was and how many goal involvements he had. Filled circles are games he scored or assisted in. He drew 67% of his involvements against the weaker half where 68% was expected given the schedule he played (p = 0.763). That is within the normal range.

2025 game log

DateOpponentopp rating minGA
2025-08-21 Union Commonwealth H · out of division, not counted 84 1 0
2025-08-24 Akron A +0.65 73 0 0
2025-08-31 Western Ill. A -0.44 weaker half 62 1 0
2025-09-06 Belmont H +0.43 90 0 0
2025-09-09 Bellarmine A +0.31 48 0 0
2025-09-13 Green Bay H -0.06 weaker half 78 0 0
2025-09-20 Robert Morris A +0.11 78 1 0
2025-09-27 Cleveland St. H +0.13 67 0 0
2025-09-30 Bowling Green A -0.29 weaker half 40 0 0
2025-10-04 Detroit Mercy A -0.40 weaker half 90 0 0
2025-10-11 Wright St. A -0.72 weaker half 55 1 0
2025-10-18 IU Indy H -0.23 weaker half 76 0 0
2025-10-21 Duquesne H -0.02 weaker half 36 0 0
2025-10-25 Oakland H -0.19 weaker half 90 0 0
2025-10-31 Milwaukee A -0.08 weaker half 86 0 0
2025-11-04 Purdue Fort Wayne A +0.18 49 0 0