AJ

Aitor Jorde

3 seasons · 2 teams · 2 divisions Compare 2025

Observed in more than one division. D2 2023-2024 at 21 involvements in 28 nineties (0.74/90), then D1 2025 at 0.67/90. Surname is unique in the population, so the match is high confidence. These two rates are not directly comparable, which is exactly what the level model is being built to resolve.

Career

SeasonDivTeamPos GP90sGA raw/90adj/90sched rankpct
Career D1 + D2 2 teams 49 35.9 19 7 0.436 0.403

The career row totals only what can be totalled. Schedule, rank and percentile are blank because each one is a position inside a single division-season, so there is no career version of them, and the best season's percentile is not one. The career raw/90 and adj/90 are every season put on the D1 scale and weighted by minutes, which is the only way to total a rate across divisions. The level ladder is measured from 665 players observed in two divisions, in both directions, so it is a within-player comparison rather than a guess. A goal in D2 counts as 0.72 of a D1 goal. Treat it as a translation, not a projection. The ladder is an average over players who moved, and most of them were mid-table, so applying it to someone far out in his division's tail assumes the gap is the same size up there. The mover sample cannot check that.

adjusted per 90
0.427
raw 0.486
rank in D1 2025
521
-114 vs raw · 80th pct
schedule faced
0.84
mean opponent -0.24
production vs weak half
100%
expected 84% · 77% of minutes

2025 · every game by opponent strength

012weaker halfstronger halfRhode Island rating -0.01 26min 0g 0aVillanova rating -0.11 85min 0g 0aMonmouth rating -0.18 44min 0g 0aBinghamton rating -0.67 45min 0g 0aJames Madison rating -0.38 33min 0g 0aCanisius rating -0.63 41min 0g 0aFairfield rating +0.35 42min 0g 0aNiagara rating -0.14 40min 0g 0aSiena rating +0.16 45min 0g 0aRider rating -0.52 35min 0g 0aSacred Heart rating +0.42 40min 0g 0aStonehill rating -0.78 56min 0g 1aMerrimack rating -0.25 41min 1g 0aManhattan rating -0.41 52min 1g 0aSaint Peter's rating -0.47 45min 2g 0aweaker opponentstronger opponent

Each circle is one game, placed by how strong the opponent was and how many goal involvements he had. Filled circles are games he scored or assisted in. He drew 100% of his involvements against the weaker half where 84% was expected given the schedule he played (p = 0.408). That is within the normal range.

2025 game log

DateOpponentopp rating minGA
2025-08-21 Rhode Island A -0.01 26 0 0
2025-08-28 Villanova A -0.11 weaker half 85 0 0
2025-09-02 Monmouth H -0.18 weaker half 44 0 0
2025-09-10 Stonehill H -0.78 weaker half 56 0 1
2025-09-13 Binghamton A -0.67 weaker half 45 0 0
2025-09-23 James Madison A -0.38 weaker half 33 0 0
2025-09-27 Canisius A -0.63 weaker half 41 0 0
2025-10-01 Saint Peter's H -0.47 weaker half 45 2 0
2025-10-04 Fairfield A +0.35 42 0 0
2025-10-11 Niagara H -0.14 weaker half 40 0 0
2025-10-15 Siena H +0.16 45 0 0
2025-10-18 Rider A -0.52 weaker half 35 0 0
2025-10-25 Merrimack H -0.25 weaker half 41 1 0
2025-10-29 Sacred Heart A +0.42 40 0 0
2025-11-05 Manhattan A -0.41 weaker half 52 1 0